Feed dropped by Bloglines | Main | Still on those federal judges

Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Electoral vote one week to go

It's hard to believe, but one week from tonight the major network talking heads will be biting their tongues to keep from predicting the winner. Whereas, the talking heads on the internet won't.

Here are the most recent numbers as compiled by the Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:

  • Tuesday, October 26, 2004, Kerry 247 | Bush 285 (Bush + 38)

And, here are a few older numbers from days I've been keeping track.

  • Sunday, October 17, 2004, Kerry 253 | Bush 247 (Kerry + 6)
  • Tuesday, October 5, 2004, Kerry 200 | Bush 321 (Bush + 121)
  • Tuesday, September 28, 2004: Kerry 207 | Bush 317 (Bush + 110)
  • Wednesday, September 22, 2004: Kerry 269 | Bush 253 (Kerry + 16)
  • Friday, September 17, 2004: Kerry 211 | Bush 307 (Bush + 96)
  • Tuesday, September 14, 2004: Kerry 238 | Bush 291 (Bush + 53)
  • Tuesday, September 6, 2004: Kerry 247 | Bush 275 (Bush + 28)
  • Tuesday, August 31, 2004: Kerry 242 | Bush 280 (Bush + 38)
  • Friday, August 27, 2004: Kerry 270 | Bush 259 (Kerry + 11)
  • Sunday, August 22, 2004: Kerry 286 | Bush 233 (Kerry + 53)
  • Thursday, August 19, 2004: Kerry 301 | Bush 213 (Kerry + 88)
  • Thursday, August 05, 2004: Kerry 307 | Bush 231 (Kerry + 76)

Also, it's interesting to note the Illinois polls tracked since June.

Posted by Marie at October 26, 2004 10:21 PM

Comments

...one week from tomorrow we'll be hearing about the controversies from one side or another about the dirty pool played, the lawsuits that will (guaranteed) happen, etc. I have my belief on how it'll play out, but for the sake of keeping Drama out of here, I'll keep them to myself. :)

Posted by: ben at October 26, 2004 10:35 PM

Since I really don't have a clue as to the result next Tuesday, I've decided to make my prediction as crazy as possible. So, I predict that the electoral college vote will be Bush 242, Kerry 249, with both Florida and Ohio being contested. The recounts will give Florida to Bush, and Ohio to Kerry, resulting in a 269-269 Electoral College.

The Democrats will regain control of the House by one seats, which will be won by a dead person. The Senate will be equally split -- pending the outcome of the Louisiana run-off election.

Chief Justice Rehnquist will be hospitalized during the month December and early January, leaving the Supreme Court with 8 members: 4 who voted in the majority in Bush v Gore, 4 who voted in the minority.

So much for keeping the drama out, eh?

Posted by: Vasyl at October 26, 2004 11:56 PM

Here is a nice little quiz that you can match yourself up to a politician:

http://quiz.ontheissues.org/Quiz.htm

I was a 65% match to Kerry and a 15% match with Bush. Bush was at the very bottom of my list.

They have it for offices other than the Presidency too.

Posted by: Jill at October 28, 2004 6:53 PM